{"id":3075,"date":"2024-03-10T08:55:33","date_gmt":"2024-03-10T08:55:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/avefi.com\/?p=3075"},"modified":"2024-03-13T14:53:36","modified_gmt":"2024-03-13T14:53:36","slug":"newsletter-mars-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/?p=3075","title":{"rendered":"Newsletter Mars 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"3075\" class=\"elementor elementor-3075\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-d534f3e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"d534f3e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-41ef186\" data-id=\"41ef186\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0d3671e elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"0d3671e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Newsletter Mars 2024<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53cbbd8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"53cbbd8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div style=\"position: relative; width: 100%; height: 0; padding-top: 141.4286%;\r\n padding-bottom: 0; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px 0 rgba(63,69,81,0.16); margin-top: 1.6em; margin-bottom: 0.9em; overflow: hidden;\r\n border-radius: 8px; will-change: transform;\">\r\n  <iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"position: absolute; width: 100%; height: 100%; top: 0; left: 0; border: none; padding: 0;margin: 0;\"\r\n    src=\"https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.canva.com&#x2F;design&#x2F;DAF-iBvqccI&#x2F;W6a280n_RHGygWSBAyKsog&#x2F;view?embed\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" allow=\"fullscreen\">\r\n  <\/iframe>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<a href=\"https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.canva.com&#x2F;design&#x2F;DAF-iBvqccI&#x2F;W6a280n_RHGygWSBAyKsog&#x2F;view?utm_content=DAF-iBvqccI&amp;utm_campaign=designshare&amp;utm_medium=embeds&amp;utm_source=link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mars 2024<\/a> par Manon Giustino\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-35887cb elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"35887cb\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-989e231\" data-id=\"989e231\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-eb8eb87 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"eb8eb87\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"color: var(--insur-black, #16243d); font-weight: bolder; font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif;\">Vue d&rsquo;ensemble de la croissance mondiale :<\/span><\/p><p>La croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale devrait \u00eatre de\u00a03,1 % en 2024\u00a0et de\u00a03,2 % en 2025.<\/p><p>Ces pr\u00e9visions pour 2024 sont sup\u00e9rieures de\u00a00,2 point de pourcentage\u00a0\u00e0 celles de l\u2019\u00e9dition d\u2019octobre 2023 des Perspectives de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale (PEM).<\/p><p>La r\u00e9silience plus forte que pr\u00e9vu aux \u00c9tats-Unis et dans plusieurs grands pays \u00e9mergents et en d\u00e9veloppement, ainsi que l\u2019appui budg\u00e9taire en Chine, contribuent \u00e0 cette am\u00e9lioration.<\/p><p>Cependant, les pr\u00e9visions pour 2024\u201325 restent inf\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la moyenne historique (2000\u201319) de\u00a03,8 %.<\/p><p>L\u2019inflation mondiale devrait ralentir plus rapidement que pr\u00e9vu, avec une inflation globale de\u00a05,8 % en 2024\u00a0et de\u00a04,4 % en 2025.<\/p><p>La probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un atterrissage brutal s\u2019est estomp\u00e9e, et les facteurs qui influent sur la croissance mondiale sont globalement \u00e9quilibr\u00e9s.<\/p><p><strong>Risques et opportunit\u00e9s :<\/strong><\/p><p>Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 positif, une stagnation des salaires et une d\u00e9sinflation plus rapide\u00a0que pr\u00e9vu pourraient conduire \u00e0 un nouvel assouplissement des conditions financi\u00e8res. Une fois les pressions sur les salaires et les prix clairement dissip\u00e9es, une orientation moins restrictive sera n\u00e9cessaire pour soutenir la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale plus forte<\/p><p>Une politique budg\u00e9taire plus souple que n\u00e9cessaire et que pr\u00e9vu dans les projections, pourrait stimuler temporairement la croissance, mais au risque d\u2019un ajustement plus co\u00fbteux par la suite.<\/p><p>Une dynamique de r\u00e9formes structurelles plus vigoureuses pourrait \u00e9galement stimuler la productivit\u00e9 et avoir des effets d\u2019entra\u00eenement entre les pays. L&rsquo;Europe d\u00e9croche en terme de productivit\u00e9.<\/p><p>Du c\u00f4t\u00e9 n\u00e9gatif, une inflation sous-jacente plus persistante ou de nouvelles flamb\u00e9es des prix des produits de base dues \u00e0 des chocs g\u00e9opolitiques pourraient prolonger le resserrement des conditions mon\u00e9taires.<\/p><p>L\u2019aggravation des difficult\u00e9s du secteur immobilier en Chine ou des virages d\u00e9stabilisants vers des hausses d\u2019imp\u00f4ts et des r\u00e9ductions des d\u00e9penses pourraient \u00e9galement affecter la croissance.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>Des taux faibles sont n\u00e9cessaires : \u00e9volution de la\u00a0dette mondiale priv\u00e9e\u00a0et\u00a0publique\u00a0par d\u00e9cennie depuis\u00a01950\u00a0jusqu\u2019\u00e0\u00a02019. Les donn\u00e9es sont exprim\u00e9es en\u00a0milliards de dollars.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><table width=\"301\"><tbody><tr><td><p><strong>D\u00e9cennie<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Dette Priv\u00e9e (en milliards de dollars)<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>Dette Publique (en milliards de dollars)<\/strong><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>1950s<\/p><\/td><td><p>600<\/p><\/td><td><p>800<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>1960s<\/p><\/td><td><p>1 200<\/p><\/td><td><p>1 500<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>1970s<\/p><\/td><td><p>2 500<\/p><\/td><td><p>3 000<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>1980s<\/p><\/td><td><p>5 000<\/p><\/td><td><p>6 000<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>1990s<\/p><\/td><td><p>12 000<\/p><\/td><td><p>14 000<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>2000s<\/p><\/td><td><p>25 000<\/p><\/td><td><p>30 000<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>2010s<\/p><\/td><td><p>40 000<\/p><\/td><td><p>55 000<\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><p>Les imp\u00f4ts ne baisseront pas :\u00a0<\/p><p><span style=\"color: var( --e-global-color-text ); font-family: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-family ), Sans-serif; font-weight: var( --e-global-typography-text-font-weight );\">Voici le tableau de l\u2019\u00e9volution du\u00a0d\u00e9ficit structurel de la France\u00a0depuis\u00a02000\u00a0jusqu\u2019\u00e0\u00a02022, exprim\u00e9 en\u00a0pourcentage du PIB\u00a0et en\u00a0milliards d\u2019euros. On voit en 2022 l&rsquo;effet de l&rsquo;inflations sur le d\u00e9ficit.<\/span><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><table><tbody><tr><td width=\"73\"><p><strong>Ann\u00e9e<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p><strong>D\u00e9ficit Structurel (% du PIB)<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p><strong>Montant (en milliards d\u2019euros)<\/strong><\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p><strong>Rang de D\u00e9penses<\/strong><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2000<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>1,5%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>27,9<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>Faible<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2005<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>2,9%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>49,8<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>Moyen<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2010<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>7,1%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>152,5<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>\u00c9lev\u00e9<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2015<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>3,5%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>77,3<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>Moyen<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2020<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>9,2%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>223,4<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>Tr\u00e8s \u00e9lev\u00e9<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td width=\"73\"><p>2022<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>6,8%<\/p><\/td><td width=\"73\"><p>179,6<\/p><\/td><td width=\"87\"><p>\u00c9lev\u00e9<\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-ab6da0b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"ab6da0b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-38fa87f\" data-id=\"38fa87f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-14fc9e4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"14fc9e4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Nouveau service <\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9db8d6e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9db8d6e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-49aeec7\" data-id=\"49aeec7\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-571caeb elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"571caeb\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6849630\" data-id=\"6849630\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-228cd61 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"228cd61\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"OYPEnA text-decoration-none text-strikethrough-none\" style=\"color: #000000;\">AVEFI vous propose un service d\u2019accompagnement pour vos recherches de financement gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 son nouveau partenariat avec Meilleur Taux. Un service digitalis\u00e9, simple d\u2019utilisation et un retour rapide.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Newsletter Mars 2024 Mars 2024 par Manon Giustino Vue d&rsquo;ensemble de la croissance mondiale : La croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale devrait \u00eatre de\u00a03,1 % en 2024\u00a0et de\u00a03,2 % en 2025. Ces pr\u00e9visions pour 2024 sont sup\u00e9rieures de\u00a00,2 point de pourcentage\u00a0\u00e0 celles de l\u2019\u00e9dition d\u2019octobre 2023 des Perspectives de l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale (PEM). La r\u00e9silience plus forte que [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[88,84,87,89,85,86],"class_list":["post-3075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-credit","tag-croissance","tag-financement","tag-inflation","tag-mondiale","tag-point-dactualite"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3075","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3075"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3075\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3087,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3075\/revisions\/3087"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3075"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3075"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/avefi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3075"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}